Anthony Davis Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2023

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Anthony Davis

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Rebounds

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 11, 2023

Updated Apr 12, 2023 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has compiled a whopping 12.5 rebounds per game this year, a significant increase from his 9.9 rebounds per game last year.
Anthony Davis has averaged 33.1 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Lakers.
Anthony Davis will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally raises stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Anthony Davis has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (87th percentile).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 9 games at home.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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