Anthony Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2025

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Anthony Davis

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 23, 2025

Updated Dec 24, 2025 3:19 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has scored 25.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's scored overall this year.
This year when they are at home, opposing starting PFs have averaged 44.8% on 3-pointers (5th-best in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, identifying this as a strong matchup.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.
As a team, the Dallas Mavericks have been terrific at getting to the foul line of late: 4th-best in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home with 27.9 free throws per game.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home court this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 5thworst in in the NBA with just 9.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

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