Anthony Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 31, 2025

Updated Mar 31, 2025 10:34 PM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Davis lands in the 100th percentile for field goals sunk while at home, totaling a colossal 10.7 per game since the start of last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Davis lands in the 96th percentile for 3-point prowess with the home court advantage with a phenomenal 50.0% rate since the start of last season.
Anthony Davis has averaged 34.3 minutes per game at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 2nd-most efficient shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.
The 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Favors Under

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have tallied 11.4 points per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Brooklyn Nets, making this a challenging matchup for offensive output.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Dallas Mavericks.
The Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.