Anthony Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 3/24/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 24, 2025

Updated Mar 24, 2025 11:59 PM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Anthony Davis ranks in the 98th percentile, registering a monstrous 25.7 points per game this year.
Anthony Davis has successfully made 57.9% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 6.1% higher than he's made over the course of the year.
Anthony Davis has been on the court for 34.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 93rd percentile.
With respect to scoring, the Mavericks's excellent 115.6 points per game while playing on the road rates 10th-best in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Nic Claxton is a good one for 3-pointers; when Claxton is playing at home fellow starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a colossal 47.7% of their shots from behind the three-point arc (100th percentile).

Favors Under

This year, opposing starting PFs have registered 14.6 points per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Nets, creating a tough matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from facing the least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Brooklyn Nets).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
Anthony Davis will likely see a decline in production in all facets of the game on account of playing away from home in this matchup.