Anthony Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Boston Celtics · Jan 23, 2025

Updated Jan 23, 2025 9:50 PM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has attempted 20.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games while at home, 2.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.
Out of all players in the league, Anthony Davis rates in the 88th percentile for three-point ability when playing at home with a remarkable 44.5% rate this year.
Anthony Davis has been on the court for 34.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 94th percentile.
The Lakers rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games when playing at home.
Anthony Davis will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually raises player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The showdown with Kristaps Porzingis places in the 7th percentile with the other team's starting Cs burying a mere 16.7% of their three-point shots this year when they have the home court advantage.
The 3rd-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Anthony Davis has attempted 7.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games when playing at home, 1.3 lower than he's attempted overall this season at home.