Anthony Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 11/21/2024

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Anthony Davis

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Orlando Magic · Nov 21, 2024

Updated Nov 22, 2024 2:44 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has put up an impressive 30.7 points per game this season, a significant increase from his 25.0 points per game last season.
Anthony Davis has successfully made 1.6 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.
Among all players in the league, Anthony Davis slots into the 90th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 34.6 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league when playing at home this year.
The Magic have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 8 games away from their home city, which should raise possessions for the Los Angeles Lakers.

Favors Under

The matchup against Goga Bitadze is a hard one; he has allowed a measly 12.0 points per game on the road when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (4th percentile).
The Lakers have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Lakers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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