Anthony Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 4/29/2024

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Anthony Davis

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 29, 2024

Updated Apr 30, 2024 2:16 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has converted 11.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's sunk overall this year.
Anthony Davis has played 41.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 more than he's played overall this season.
The Lakers rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing away from home.
The number of points compiled against Nikola Jokic has been remarkably high (16.4 per game) when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Lakers.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Anthony Davis comes in at the 24th percentile for three-point proficiency away from home with a bad 24.6% rate this year.
Anthony Davis has accumulated 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season.
The Los Angeles Lakers will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 1stworst in in the NBA with just 8.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Anthony Davis will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen player performance across the board.

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