Anthony Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 4/22/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 22, 2024

Updated Apr 22, 2024 10:19 PM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has scored 30.6 points per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 5.1 higher than he's scored overall this season on the road.
Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Davis rates in the 82nd percentile for shooting performance when playing away from home with an outstanding 53.2% rate this year.
Anthony Davis has averaged 35.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 97th percentile.
The Lakers rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing on the road.
The number of points put up against Nikola Jokic has been quite high (15.9 per game) when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Favors Under

The Lakers are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from being pitted against the 4th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
The Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Anthony Davis figures to see a decline in production in all stat categories due to playing away from home in this matchup.