Anthony Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2024

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Anthony Davis

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 20, 2024

Updated Apr 21, 2024 12:52 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has averaged 24.8 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 97th percentile.
Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Davis ranks in the 81st percentile for field goal ability away from home with a phenomenal 53.2% rate this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Davis registers in the 97th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 35.7 minutes per game this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court.
The most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

Favors Under

The Lakers will likely experience a decrease in plays today from competing against the 4th-most sluggish pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Anthony Davis should suffer a drop-off in production in all facets of the game on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

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