Anthony Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2024

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Anthony Davis

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 16, 2024

Updated Apr 16, 2024 11:32 PM UTC

Analysis

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has averaged 29.2 points per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 3.7 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road.
Anthony Davis has made 53.7% of his shots from the field while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the league, Anthony Davis measures in the 97th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 35.6 minutes per game this year.
The Lakers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing away from home.
The matchup vs. Jonas Valanciunas is a positive one for field goals; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have converted a massive 61.5% of their shot attempts from the field (100th percentile).

Favors Under

The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Anthony Davis will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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