Anthony Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2024

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Anthony Davis

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 6, 2024

Updated Mar 7, 2024 3:57 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has made 9.6 buckets per game this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the league, Anthony Davis ranks in the 97th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 35.5 minutes per game on his home court this year.
The Lakers have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
The 4th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Lakers.
The Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Davis comes in at the 78th percentile for technical fouls, putting up an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
Over the last 15 games, opposing teams have averaged 50.7% on shots from the field (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Kings, resulting in a positive matchup.
The matchup with Domantas Sabonis measures in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs scoring only 0.3 three-point shots per game this year when they are on their home court.
The Lakers will likely see a decline in opportunities in this game from competing against the 6th-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings).
The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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