Anthony Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2024

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Anthony Davis

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 4, 2024

Updated Mar 5, 2024 3:30 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-141/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -134 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -141.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has converted 9.7 shots made from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Davis registers in the 97th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 35.7 minutes per game while at home this year.
The Lakers rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.
This year, opposing teams have shot 45.2% on field goals (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a tough matchup.
The matchup vs. Chet Holmgren is a favorable one; he has allowed an enormous 16.9 points per game on the road when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Davis measures in the 15th percentile for 3-point efficiency with a a poor 22.8% rate this year.
The Lakers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Thunder have allowed the most offensive boards per game (12.6) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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