Anthony Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Anthony Davis

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has sunk 11.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 1.9 more than he's made in all games this season.
Anthony Davis has made 51.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 16.6% more than he's made in all games this year.
Anthony Davis has tallied 35.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 97th percentile.
As it relates to shooting, the Los Angeles Lakers's terrific 122.6 points per game while on their home court ranks 5th-best in the league over the last 5 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a challenging one; he has allowed a measly 10.5 points per game when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA while traveling this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Los Angeles Lakers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 7.6 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Bam Adebayo has been very low this year (2.3 foul shots per game: 3rd percentile).

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