Anthony Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2023

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 31, 2023

Updated Jan 1, 2024 2:52 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-124/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has converted 12.5 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.8 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.
Among all players in the league, Anthony Davis slots into the 96th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 35.8 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
In terms of scoring, the Lakers's remarkable 118.8 points per game comes in as the 8th-most in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Jonas Valanciunas is a strong one for shots from the field; when matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a colossal 62.8% of their field goal attempts (93rd percentile).
The Lakers have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games on the road.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Davis ranks in the 23rd percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc while playing away from home, logging 1.1 per game this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from facing the least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).
The Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
When playing at home, the New Orleans Pelicans have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have attempted 28.0 free throws per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.