Anthony Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 30, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 10:28 PM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has totaled 30.5 points per game over the last 10 games, 5.1 higher than he's totaled overall this season.
Out of all players in the league, Anthony Davis registers in the 82nd percentile for scoring efficiency away from his home court with a an excellent 53.7% rate this year.
Anthony Davis has tallied 35.5 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
When it comes to scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's fantastic 119.2 points per game settles in as the 7th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This matchup is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Timberwolves are playing at home, opposing teams have compiled the 2nd-lowest three percentage in the league this year (30.9%).

Favors Under

The Lakers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
With the home court advantage, the Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Anthony Davis will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce player production for all stats.