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Anthony Davis

Anthony Davis Points
Player Prop - 12/21/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Anthony Davis has converted 13.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 3.7 higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Anthony Davis has sunk 54.2% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 26.0% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year.

Anthony Davis has played 34.8 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.

This matchup is a tough one for threes; when the Timberwolves are on their home court, opposing teams have compiled the lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (29.0%).

The number of shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against Rudy Gobert has been remarkably high (3.2 per game) when on his home court and matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lakers will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 8th-most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

While on their home court, the Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.9) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing clubs have attempted a colossal 24.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (9th-most in the league).

Anthony Davis will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player performance across the board.

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