Anthony Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2023

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Anthony Davis

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 25, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 12:27 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has averaged 33.5 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 87th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The 8th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Lakers.

Favors Under

Anthony Davis has logged just 21.5 points per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 25.2 points per game last season.
Anthony Davis has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game away from home this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
This year, the opposition's starting Cs have compiled 12.1 points per game (12th-fewest in the league) against the Cavaliers, designating this as a challenging matchup for offensive productivity.
The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-most lethargic pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 2ndworst in in the NBA on their home court with just 8.3 offensive boards per game this year.

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