Anthony Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 5/4/2023

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Anthony Davis

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers · May 4, 2023

Updated May 5, 2023 1:16 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has converted 9.6 shots made from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league.
Anthony Davis has been on the court for 34.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a positive one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.7).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.
The Warriors have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Lakers.

Favors Under

Anthony Davis has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA away from their home court this year in terms of 3-point shots.
The Warriors have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Anthony Davis will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to decreases player production in all stat categories.

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