Anthony Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 2, 2023 10:53 PM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has averaged 33.8 points per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 4.9 more than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
Anthony Davis has sunk 64.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.7% more than he's sunk overall this season.
Anthony Davis has tallied 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 91st percentile.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league when playing away from home this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year in terms of threes.
The matchup vs. the Rockets is a hard one; they have allowed the 12th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting Cs this year (12.6).
The Rockets have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games in their home city, which should reduce plays for the Lakers.
While playing at home, the Rockets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Anthony Davis will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to worsens stat production in all facets of the game.