Anthony Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2023

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Anthony Davis

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Orlando Magic · Mar 19, 2023

Updated Mar 19, 2023 12:26 PM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has made 63.5% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 7.7% higher than he's converted in all games this season at home.
Anthony Davis has converted 75.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 45.6% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year with the home court advantage.
Anthony Davis has been on the court for 34.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 96th percentile.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Magic is a hard one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting Cs have totaled the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (0.9).
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Magic have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.7) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Magic is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a measly 2.7 free throws per game this year (14th-least in the league).

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