Anthony Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2023

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Anthony Davis

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 17, 2023

Updated Mar 17, 2023 10:01 PM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has converted 63.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 7.7% more than he's made overall this year when playing at home.
Anthony Davis has successfully made 75.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 45.6% more than he's made overall this year at home.
Anthony Davis has been on the court for 34.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 96th percentile.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a good one for field goals; when the Mavericks are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting Cs have shot for the 29th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (62.8%).

Favors Under

The Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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