Anthony Davis Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 27, 2025

Updated Mar 27, 2025 10:29 PM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-132/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +128 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has put up 3.4 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 82nd percentile.
Out of all players in the league, Anthony Davis slots into the 93rd percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 34.1 minutes per game this year.
The most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Favors Under

The Magic have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Anthony Davis stands to suffer a reduction in production across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.