Anfernee Simons Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Anfernee Simons

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Rebounds

Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 10, 2024

Updated Nov 10, 2024 8:02 PM EST

Analysis

Anfernee Simons Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +114 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Anfernee Simons lands in the 86th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 32.5 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
The 6th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA this year has been the Trail Blazers.
The Grizzlies have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should boost plays for the Portland Trail Blazers.
The Trail Blazers have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Anfernee Simons will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually increases player production across the board.

Favors Under

Anfernee Simons has averaged 0.2 offensive boards per game this year, putting him in the 24th percentile -- among the worst in the NBA by this standard over this stretch.