Anfernee Simons Points - Player Prop Bet 12/3/2024

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Anfernee Simons

NBA · Player Props

Anfernee Simons

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

LA Clippers vs Portland Trail Blazers · Dec 3, 2024

Updated Dec 4, 2024 2:50 AM EST

Analysis

Anfernee Simons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-134/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anfernee Simons has attempted 14.7 shots per game this year, putting him in the 87th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Anfernee Simons has sunk 4.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year.
Anfernee Simons has played 30.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 75th percentile.
The 7th-quickest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 11 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
The Trail Blazers rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Anfernee Simons has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.
The Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league as the away team this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 42.1% on shots from the field (8th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Clippers, marking this as a difficult matchup.
The Clippers have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should reduce possessions for the Trail Blazers.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.9 free throws per game this year when the Clippers are playing at home (8th-least in the league).

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