Anfernee Simons Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2024

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Anfernee Simons

NBA · Player Props

Anfernee Simons

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 29, 2024

Updated Nov 30, 2024 3:30 AM EST

Analysis

Anfernee Simons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anfernee Simons has attempted 5.7 three-pointers per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 80th percentile among all players in the league.
Among all players in the NBA, Anfernee Simons measures in the 24th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a mere 1.2 fouls per game when playing at home this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league while on their home court this year.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 9 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Portland Trail Blazers.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out best in in the league with 15.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Anfernee Simons measures in the 14th percentile for scoring effectiveness with a poor 36.9% rate this year.
In regard to offense, the Portland Trail Blazers's lackluster 100.6 points per game ranks 2nd-lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have put up 15.2 points per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Kings, marking this as a difficult matchup for offensive output.
The matchup vs. Sacramento is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 free throws per game this year when the Sacramento Kings are away from home (8th-least in the league).

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