Anfernee Simons Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2024

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Anfernee Simons

NBA · Player Props

Anfernee Simons

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Houston Rockets vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 22, 2024

Updated Nov 23, 2024 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Anfernee Simons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anfernee Simons has been called for a measly 1.3 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 2.1 fouls per game last year.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Rockets have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost plays for the Trail Blazers.
The Trail Blazers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Anfernee Simons has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 14.9% more than he's put through the net overall this season.

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 36.0% mark, Anfernee Simons's three-point effectiveness has tailed off this year to 26.0%.
As it relates to offense, the Portland Trail Blazers's lackluster 106.8 points per game settles in as the 4th-weakest in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Houston is a tough one; when the Rockets are on their home court, they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (12.8).
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 1.7 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) against the Houston Rockets, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.
Anfernee Simons stands to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this game.

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