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Anfernee Simons

Anfernee Simons Points
Player Prop - 3/4/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Portland Trail Blazers

Anfernee Simons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Anfernee Simons has attempted 20.0 shots per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 2.6 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road.

Out of all players in the NBA, Anfernee Simons rates in the 99th percentile for three-point shots sunk, registering 3.3 per game this year.

Anfernee Simons has averaged 37.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 4.3 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road.

The Trail Blazers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

This year, their opposition has captured 10.3 offensive boards per game (9th-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Trail Blazers rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

This year, the other team's starting PGs have shot 39.8% on field goals (15th-weakest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, marking this as a tough matchup.

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Trail Blazers.

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (11th-least in the league).

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