Anfernee Simons Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Anfernee Simons

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 17, 2024 10:03 PM EST

Analysis

Anfernee Simons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Anfernee Simons lands in the 87th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 32.7 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against the Brooklyn Nets is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.2).
The 10th-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out 15thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 14.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.
In contrast to last season's 2.6 clip, Anfernee Simons's foul shots made have risen this season to 4.3 per game.

Favors Under

Anfernee Simons has sunk a lowly 38.6% of his field goal attempts this year, a significant dropoff from his 44.1 rate last year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Anfernee Simons comes in at the 79th percentile for technical fouls, tallying an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The Trail Blazers have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Trail Blazers.
Without the home court advantage, the Brooklyn Nets have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (12.1) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).