Anfernee Simons Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Anfernee Simons

NBA · Player Props

Anfernee Simons

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 1:44 AM EST

Analysis

Anfernee Simons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anfernee Simons has attempted 20.3 shots from the field per game this season, quite a bit more than his 16.9 rate last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Anfernee Simons measures in the 100th percentile for 3-pointers drained, putting up 3.6 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Anfernee Simons registers in the 85th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 32.6 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a good one for three-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 28th-most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.8).
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise plays for the Portland Trail Blazers.

Favors Under

The Portland Trail Blazers have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA on the road this year.
This year when they are on the road, opposing squads have secured 12.2 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Mavericks (saving possessions that can spark additional opportunities for offense).
Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.
Anfernee Simons will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decrease player production in all facets of the game.

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