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Anfernee Simons

Anfernee Simons Points
Player Prop - 12/21/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs Washington Wizards

Anfernee Simons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Anfernee Simons has attempted 19.8 shots from the field per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 16.9 rate last season.

Among all players in the NBA, Anfernee Simons slots into the 88th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 33.4 minutes per game at home this year.

This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have scored 16.9 points per game (26th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Wizards, identifying this as a strong matchup for offensive performance.

The Portland Trail Blazers will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year (the Washington Wizards).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out 14thbest in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 14.0 offensive boards per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Anfernee Simons has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

In regard to shooting, the Trail Blazers's subpar 107.7 points per game rates 2nd-lowest in the league this year.

The 6th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Trail Blazers.

Away from their home court, the Washington Wizards have given up the most offensive boards per game (12.3) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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