Anfernee Simons Points - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

NBA · Player Props

Anfernee Simons

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

LA Clippers vs Portland Trail Blazers · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Anfernee Simons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anfernee Simons has attempted 17.0 field goals per game while playing away from home since the start of last season, ranking in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league.
Anfernee Simons has attempted 9.1 3-pointers per game on the road since the start of last season, putting him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.
Anfernee Simons has tallied 34.4 minutes per game away from his home court since the start of last season, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a strong one; when the Clippers are playing at home, they have given up the 28th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs since the start of last season (19.9).
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 13 games while on their home court.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Anfernee Simons registers in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 2.3 fouls per game when playing away from home since the start of last season.
The Trail Blazers have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
The Clippers have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Portland Trail Blazers.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have snagged 11.6 offensive boards per game (8th-most in the NBA) against the LA Clippers (preserving possessions that can lead to further chances for offense).
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 1.6 free throws per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Clippers, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.