Anfernee Simons Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

NBA · Player Props

Anfernee Simons

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 3:13 AM EST

Analysis

Anfernee Simons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Anfernee Simons ranks in the 99th percentile for shot attempts from downtown playing at home, totaling 9.1 per game since the start of last season.
Anfernee Simons has been on the court for 34.4 minutes per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to see a rise in possessions today from facing the 4th-speediest pace road team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank 2ndbest in in the league with 14.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Anfernee Simons has made 89.7% of his foul shot attempts without the home court advantage since the start of last season, placing him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Anfernee Simons registers in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.3 fouls per game playing at home since the start of last season.
In regard to offense, the Portland Trail Blazers's lackluster 105.2 points per game with the home court advantage measures as the worst in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a hard one for field goal attempts; the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 14th-least shot attempts per game in the league this year (11.7).
The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year has been the Trail Blazers.
This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have nabbed 11.9 offensive boards per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks (retaining possessions that can generate additional chances for offense).