Anfernee Simons Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2023

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Anfernee Simons

NBA · Player Props

Anfernee Simons

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Lakers · Feb 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Anfernee Simons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anfernee Simons has attempted 17.0 field goals per game this year, significantly more than his 14.0 rate last year.
Anfernee Simons has attempted 9.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, a big improvement over his 7.8 rate last year.
Anfernee Simons has played a whopping 35.3 minutes per game this season, quite a bit more than his 29.1 minutes per game last season.
The Portland Trail Blazers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. Dennis Schroder is a favorable one for shots from the field; when Schroder is on the visiting team fellow starting SGs this year, they have attempted a colossal 15.5 shots made from the field per game (100th percentile).

Favors Under

Anfernee Simons has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Dennis Schroder is a hard one for drawing fouls; when Schroder is away from his home court and guarding opposing starting SGs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.7 free throws per game (18th percentile).

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