Anfernee Simons Points - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2023

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Anfernee Simons

NBA · Player Props

Anfernee Simons

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Washington Wizards vs Portland Trail Blazers · Feb 3, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Anfernee Simons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anfernee Simons has scored a whopping 21.7 points per game this year, a big improvement over his 17.3 points per game last year.
Anfernee Simons has attempted 9.5 shots from downtown per game this season, significantly higher than his 7.8 mark last season.
Anfernee Simons has been on the court for 35.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 96th percentile.
The Wizards have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise possessions for the Trail Blazers.
The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Anfernee Simons has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.8 more than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.
The matchup against the Wizards is a challenging one; they have given up the 4th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs this year (15.2).
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home court this year.
Anfernee Simons will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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