Anfernee Simons Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Anfernee Simons

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Made 3 Point Shots

Los Angeles Lakers vs Portland Trail Blazers · Dec 8, 2024

Updated Dec 8, 2024 9:36 PM EST

Analysis

Anfernee Simons Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-166/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anfernee Simons has sunk 3.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.
Anfernee Simons has played 30.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 77th percentile.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the NBA this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Anfernee Simons has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 1.6 three-pointers per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Lakers, making this a challenging matchup.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Trail Blazers.
Anfernee Simons will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production across the board.