Anfernee Simons Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Anfernee Simons

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Made 3 Point Shots

Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 1, 2024 8:28 PM EST

Analysis

Anfernee Simons Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-148/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Anfernee Simons rates in the 99th percentile for 3-point attempts, tallying 8.8 per game this year.
Anfernee Simons has played 38.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 5.2 more than he's played over the course of the season on the road.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 7.0 three attempts per game (27th-most in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, branding this as a favorable matchup.
The Trail Blazers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are on the road, their opposition has come down with 10.2 offensive boards per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise spark further opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Anfernee Simons has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
With respect to three-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Trail Blazers.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.
The Trail Blazers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 5th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Grizzlies).
Anfernee Simons is expected to experience a decrease in production in all stat categories due to playing away from home in this matchup.