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Anfernee Simons

Anfernee Simons Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 2/27/2024

Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat

Anfernee Simons Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Anfernee Simons measures in the 98th percentile for shot attempts from downtown at home, putting up 8.7 per game this year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Anfernee Simons places in the 91st percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 33.6 minutes per game this year.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers rank 14thbest in in the league with the home court advantage with 13.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

This year, opposing squads have snagged 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in extra opportunities for offense).

Anfernee Simons stands to get a boost in output across the board due to possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Anfernee Simons has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's averaged overall this year.

The Trail Blazers check in as the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games in regard to shot attempts from downtown.

The matchup vs. Miami is a hard one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 5th-least 3-point shots per game in the NBA over the last 25 games when the Heat are the visiting team (2.0).

The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Portland Trail Blazers.

The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from facing the most lethargic tempo road offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat).

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