Anfernee Simons Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Anfernee Simons

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers · Feb 4, 2024

Updated Feb 4, 2024 8:43 PM EST

Analysis

Anfernee Simons Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anfernee Simons has converted 4.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's made from downtown overall this year when playing on the road.
Out of all players in the league, Anfernee Simons rates in the 86th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 32.6 minutes per game on the road this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Anfernee Simons has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.1 higher than he's tallied overall this year on the road.
The matchup vs. Denver is a hard one for three-point shots; when the Nuggets are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have posted the 14th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (20.5%).
The Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Portland Trail Blazers.
The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (10.7) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).