Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2026

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets · Feb 28, 2026

Updated Mar 1, 2026 4:39 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has posted 20.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.1 higher than he's posted overall this season.
The Heat have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Heat rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 5.4 foul shots per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Houston Rockets, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

The Heat rank as the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The matchup vs. the Rockets is a difficult one for 3-pointers; opposing starting PFs have shot for the lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (21.7%).
The Rockets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Heat.

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