Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Washington Wizards vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 4, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 3:45 PM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has attempted 11.1 shots per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 75th percentile among all players in the league.
The matchup vs. Washington is a favorable one for scoring; when the Washington Wizards are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have posted the 4th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (50.2%).
The Warriors have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA as the road team this year.
The Wizards have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA this year, which should boost opportunities for the Golden State Warriors.
The Warriors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As a team, the Warriors have been lousy at getting to the charity stripe: 6th-worst in the NBA since the start of last season, drawing a measly 20.2 foul shots per game.
Andrew Wiggins will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers player performance for all stats.