Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 29, 2024

Updated Mar 29, 2024 8:02 PM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has made 53.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games on the road, 17.6% more than he's sunk overall this year on the road.
The matchup vs. Charlotte is a favorable one; when the Hornets are at home, they have allowed the 6th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs over the last 24 games (16.4).
The 6th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Golden State Warriors.
The Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Andrew Wiggins has sunk 3.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

The Hornets have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Golden State Warriors.
As a team, the Warriors have been poor at drawing fouls of late: worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, tallying a lowly 16.8 free throws per game.
Andrew Wiggins will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen stat production across the board.