Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2024

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 6, 2024

Updated Mar 7, 2024 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-113/-118).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 7.0 shots made from the field per game (28th-highest in the league) vs. the Bucks, identifying this as a positive matchup.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games without the home court advantage, which should increase plays for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Away from home, the Bucks have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Andrew Wiggins has attempted a lowly 10.7 shots per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 14.2 mark last year.
Andrew Wiggins has tallied 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (76th percentile).
With respect to offense, the Warriors's poor 44.6% field goal rate on their home court measures as the 6th-weakest in the league over the last 5 games.

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