Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2024

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors · Feb 2, 2024

Updated Feb 3, 2024 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has successfully made 62.4% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 19.4% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.
Andrew Wiggins has averaged 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.8 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
The matchup against Memphis is a favorable one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are on their home court, they have allowed the 22nd-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (15.8).
The 4th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 15thbest in in the league as the road team with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Andrew Wiggins comes in at the 79th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Golden State Warriors.
In regard to getting to the foul line, the Warriors's lackluster 20.2 free throws per game settles in as the 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 20 games.
Over the last 12 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (11th-fewest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies, making it tough to draw fouls.
Andrew Wiggins will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player performance in all facets of the game.