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Andrew Wiggins

Andrew Wiggins Points
Player Prop - 11/28/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup vs. Sacramento is a good one; when the Sacramento Kings are on the road, they have given up the 28th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (16.6).

The Kings have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to raise possessions for the Warriors.

The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

While on their home court, the Sacramento Kings have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Andrew Wiggins has attempted a measly 11.3 field goals per game this season, significantly lower than his 14.2 mark last season.

Compared to last year's 32.1 rate, Andrew Wiggins's playing time has declined this year to 26.3 minutes per game.

The Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league with the home court advantage this year.

Andrew Wiggins has sunk a mere 48.9% of his foul shot attempts this year, a sizeable decrease from his 65.2 mark last year.

The matchup vs. Sacramento is a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.5 free throws per game this year when the Kings are playing at home (6th-least in the league).

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