Andre Jackson Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Andre Jackson Jr.

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 6, 2025

Updated Jan 6, 2025 11:00 PM EST

Analysis

Andre Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andre Jackson Jr. has sunk 60.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 18.6% higher than he's converted overall this season.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 8th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup against Toronto is a favorable one for field goal attempts; when the Toronto Raptors are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have totaled the most shot attempts per game in the league this year (15.6).
The 5th-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Raptors have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to more plays for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Favors Under

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Andre Jackson Jr. has converted 50.0% of his foul shot attempts away from home this year, putting him in the 12th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the Toronto Raptors may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games (least in the league).
Andre Jackson Jr. should see a decline in performance in all facets of the game considering being on the road in this matchup.