Andre Jackson Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Andre Jackson Jr.

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 4, 2025

Updated Jan 4, 2025 9:06 PM EST

Analysis

Andre Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andre Jackson Jr. has made 55.6% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 23.5% more than he's converted from three overall this season when playing at home.
With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 8th-most aggressive team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 51.5% on field goals (best in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, resulting in a good matchup.
The 6th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (8th-most in the NBA) against the Trail Blazers, easily managing to draw fouls.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Andre Jackson Jr. registers in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.3 fouls per game this year.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court, which ought to decrease possessions for the Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Andre Jackson Jr. has successfully made a lowly 52.8% of his foul shots this season, significantly lower than his 75.0 rate last season.