Andre Jackson Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Andre Jackson Jr.

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 2, 2025

Updated Jan 2, 2025 8:26 PM EST

Analysis

Andre Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-166).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andre Jackson Jr. has sunk 41.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 10.2% more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 6.2 three attempts per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Nets, creating a favorable matchup.
The matchup vs. Keon Johnson is a good one for three-point shots; when guarding other starting SGs this year, they have sunk an enormous 40.1% of their attempts from downtown (77th percentile).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 7th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Andre Jackson Jr. rates in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The Nets have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Bucks.
The Bucks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Andre Jackson Jr. has sunk just 52.8% of his foul shot attempts this season, significantly lower than his 75.0 rate last season.
The matchup vs. Brooklyn may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 0.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Brooklyn Nets are the visiting squad (least in the NBA).