Andre Jackson Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/6/2024

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Andre Jackson Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Andre Jackson Jr.

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks · Dec 6, 2024

Updated Dec 7, 2024 12:19 AM EST

Analysis

Andre Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andre Jackson Jr. has converted 1.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's made from downtown overall this year when playing on the road.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 6.8 three attempts per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, branding this as a good matchup.
Andre Jackson Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 50.0% higher than he's made in all games this season.

Favors Under

The rate of three-pointers scored against Jrue Holiday has been very low (32.3%) when he is at home and matched up against fellow starting SGs this year (25th percentile).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on the road.
The Bucks are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from squaring off against the most lethargic pace home team in the league this year (the Boston Celtics).
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.3 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup vs. Boston may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.4 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Boston Celtics are at home (least in the NBA).

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