Andre Jackson Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Andre Jackson Jr.

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 18, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Andre Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of offense, the Bucks's excellent 118.1 points per game as the away team measures as the 6th-most in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Dallas is a positive one; when the Mavericks are playing at home, they have allowed the 29th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SFs this year (18.4).
The Bucks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-speediest tempo home offense in the league this year (the Mavericks).
Andre Jackson Jr. stands to see a spike in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Andre Jackson Jr. rates in the 10th percentile for scoring effectiveness while on his home court with a a feeble 25.0% rate since the start of last season.
Out of all players in the league, Andre Jackson Jr. ranks in the 19th percentile for 3-point efficiency while on the road with a a bad 16.7% rate since the start of last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Andre Jackson Jr. measures in the 75th percentile for technical fouls, registering a whopping 0.0 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team has secured 11.9 offensive boards per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks (lengthening possessions that can result in extra chances for offense).