Amen Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/29/2026

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Amen Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Amen Thompson

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets · Apr 29, 2026

Updated Apr 29, 2026 11:53 PM EST

Analysis

Amen Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-108/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ +138 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Amen Thompson has compiled 24.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's compiled over the course of the season.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 15.1 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup against Los Angeles may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 3.2 free throws per game over the last 17 games when the Los Angeles Lakers are on their home court (10th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Rockets.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 37.1% on field goals (3rd-weakest in the league) vs. the Lakers, marking this as a hard matchup.
The 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the league this year has been the Houston Rockets.
The Lakers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Rockets.

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